Dr Daniel Santos of the Podemos party leads the race for governor of Para with 41 percent of voter support, according to a Quaest opinion poll published on Saturday.
Hana Ghassan of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) holds second place with 32 percent, leaving the two leading contenders separated by nine percentage points in the state contest.
Araceli Lemos of the Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) ranks third with two percent of voting intentions. Well Macedo of the Unified Socialist Workers Party (PSTU) and Gal Leite of Popular Unity (UP) each recorded one percent, while Ruth Reis of the Democrats failed to score.
Voters who remain undecided make up 17 percent of the electorate. A further six percent of respondents stated that they plan to cast blank or spoiled ballots, or do not intend to vote at all.
Second round runoff projection
The survey also examined a simulated second round scenario between the top two candidates. In that head to head contest, Dr Daniel Santos expanded his lead, taking 47 percent of voter intentions against 36 percent for Hana Ghassan.
Among the remaining respondents in the second round scenario, blank and spoiled ballots combined with non-voters to reach eight percent, while nine percent of electors said they were still undecided.
Survey methodology and election rules
Quaest interviewed 804 registered voters across the state between September 22 and September 25. The study carries a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points, with a 95 percent confidence interval.
The research was commissioned by regional broadcaster TV Liberal and contracted by the Globo media network. In accordance with Brazilian election regulations, the study is officially registered with the national electoral authority, the Superior Electoral Court, under protocol PA-07042/2026.
Para is the second largest state by geographic area in Brazil, located in the country's northern Amazon region. Under Brazilian electoral rules, state gubernatorial contests operate under a two round system. A candidate must secure more than 50 percent of the valid votes in the first round to win the governorship outright. If no contender achieves an absolute majority, the top two candidates advance to a head to head runoff election.
