With the conflict that began in 2014 still entrenched and the area already converted into a global geopolitical game board, various governments are waging a particular dialectical pulse these days through threats.
The massive deployment of Russian troops near the Ukraine border has revived the drumbeats of war in this former Soviet republic. With the conflict that began in 2014 still entrenched and the area already converted into a global geopolitical game board, various governments are waging a particular dialectical pulse these days through threats.
Moscow is the main supporter of the separatist rebels who took control of much of the Donbass region almost eight years ago.
Political and arms support for this conflict was also accompanied in 2014 by the annexation of the Crimean peninsula, in a movement whose legitimacy the West does not recognize.
The Minsk Agreements remain without effect
The Minsk Agreements, initially signed in September 2014 and extended in February 2015, were intended to put an end to the conflict in eastern Ukraine, but to this day they still have no effect and the signatory parties constantly criticize each other about alleged breaches. More than 13,000 people have died as victims of the war, according to UN data.
The annexation of Crimea, a fait accompli policy
The annexation of Crimea, for its part, has ended up becoming a fait accompli policy, since the peninsula remains dominated by Russia despite the international pressure campaign led by the United States.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has visited this peninsula on numerous occasions to make it clear that he now controls it.
More than 100,000 Russian soldiers on the Ukrainian border
And so it goes until November 2021, when an unexpected Russian military deployment near the Ukrainian border set off all the alarms again.
The figures dance, but there would be more than 100,000 soldiers who are part of this operation and senior US officials have warned of Russia’s ability to take new steps in a short period of time.
EE. UU., UE y OTAN
The United States has reaffirmed its support for the government of Volodimir Zelenski, which it sees as distant and the promise of ending the conflict with which it came to power in 2018.
The European Union and NATO are key in the future that Ukraine glimpses far from the Russian orbit, especially an Atlantic Alliance that it wants to join as soon as possible.
Moscow justifies its controversial moves precisely in bringing Kiev closer to the US orbit, in particular NATO.
Putin will not stand idly by
He fears that it is the gateway to the deployment of weapons in the neighboring country and Putin has already slipped messages on several occasions that make it clear that he will not sit idly by if certain red lines are crossed.
The main Russian demand is for NATO to stop its expansion in Eastern Europe, at a time when Zelensky has called on his allies to give Ukraine definitive support by introducing a clear timetable for integration.
NATO has made it clear that the Alliance is not about to be dictated by anyone who can join and when.
Delivery of new military equipment to Ukraine
In reality, the effect in the West of the Russian threats is being the opposite, since in recent days several European governments have promised to deliver new military equipment to Ukraine, making it clear that they are on its side, not only in the political sphere but also in Defense.
Biden believes that Putin is not looking for “a large-scale war” in Europe and for now Washington and its allies are limited to putting on the table a battery of adjectives with which to describe the consequences that a hypothetical Russian invasion could bring: “devastating” , “massive” and “never seen”, among other terms used in recent weeks.
Cold War
A senior official in the Russian government recently compared the situation around Ukraine with the Cuban missile crisis of 1962 and, although nuclear war is no longer an option, the two contexts do share the feeling of an uncertain future.
Moscow has even introduced a possible military deployment in Cuba and Venezuela into the equation and has not hesitated to send troops to Belarus and Kazakhstan to make its sphere of power clear.
US intelligence suspects that Russia could resort to Cold War tactics to end up justifying the invasion and, according to sources quoted by the big US media, the covert plan would consist of orchestrating a false attack to justify to the world the need to take action military in the matter.
Kingston is an accomplished author and journalist, known for his in-depth and engaging writing on sports. He currently works as a writer at 247 News Agency, where he has established himself as a respected voice in the sports industry.
