The national populists of Reform UK, the party led by the Nigel Farage, would be the second most voted force in the next elections generals of July 4 in the United Kingdom, according to a survey published this Thursday that places them above the conservatives for the first time.

The ‘YouGov’ poll for the newspaper ‘The Times’ gives Reform (heirs of the Brexit Party) 19% of the votes, above the 18% that the Tories led by Prime Minister Rishi Sunak would get. The winner of the elections, with 37% of the votes, would be the Labor Party of Keir Starmer, who would thus obtain a comfortable victory.

As if that were not enough for the Tories’ expectations, the survey was carried out after the presentation of their electoral program last Tuesday, a moment that theoretically should have caused their voting intention to rebound.

Despite this, as highlighted by ‘The Times’, the survey shows that Most of those who said they will vote for Reform consider that an absolute “supermajority” of Labor would be bad news for the countrywhich raises hopes that many of them will seek a useful vote on election day.

This week, the Minister of Defense and one of the most influential conservatives, Grant Shapps, warned in an interview of the dangers that a Labor “supermajority” would have for the United Kingdom, in what was interpreted as a first tacit recognition by the formation that the elections are already lost.

According to the survey, conducted online among more than 2,200 adults, Sunak’s decision to abandon the commemoration events for the 80th anniversary of the Normandy Landings to participate in a televised interview (for which he himself has apologized) has further eroded his candidacy. 56% of respondents considered it a “serious mistake”, including 64% of Reform voters.