Political earthquake after the rise of the extreme right in the European elections on June 9. This Sunday’s elections have shown that the different ultra groups have penetrated Europe with a speech full of hate where immigrants and the European Union have been the scapegoats. A bloc that has taken over Austria, Germany, France, Italy, Belgium and the Netherlands and has already achieved its first victory: elections in France after Marine Le Pen’s extreme right swept the polls.

Half-speed growth that remains in no man’s land. The political parties that had the objective of dynamiting the welfare state with a reactionary wave and socioeconomic measures that put European society at risk, have not yet achieved their objective of leaving the European institutions in check and the ultra right will continue to be a minority group in the European Parliament.

However, a new path is opening up for future national elections. The rise of the far-right suggests that in Europe the polarization imposed by far-right parties can mark future elections, being its main hot spots France, Germany and Austria.

The rise of the AfD in Germany

The result of the AfD has overshadowed the victory of the conservative opposition of the Union, a formation formed by the Christian Democrats of the CDU and their Bavarian Christian Social partner of the CSU. The elections in Germany were shaping up to be a referendum on the coalition of social democrats, liberals and greens, where national security and the closure of borders have prevailed over climate change as the main concerns of the German people.

The conservative bloc that makes up the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and his Bavarian partner (CSU) has clearly prevailed in the European elections, above the 30% of the votesThe CDU, the main opposition force in Germany, has surpassed the 30% threshold, which will allow it to have 31 seats in the European Parliament and consolidate itself as a reference for the European People’s Party (EPP), which aspires to reinstate Ursula Von der Leyen at the head of the European Commission.

AFD has had an electoral campaign marked by the controversy of its candidate Maximilian Krah saying that not all members of the Nazi SS were “criminals”

AFD, after an electoral campaign marked by the controversy of its candidate Maximilian Krah saying that not all members of the Nazi SS were “criminals”, has achieved 15.9% of the votes that will translate into 18 seats.

How will the victory of the far-right influence the German country? The ultras will mark the German political panorama for the remainder of 2024, with three key dates in the fall where it will be seen if what happened during the European Championships is purely a mirage or, on the contrary, represents a turning point where the AfD could sweep. A scenario that looks quite dark, since they give around 30% of the votes to the extreme right in both Thuringia and Brandenburg and Saxony.

In Austria the far-right sweeps

The extreme right has swept Austria. As the polls progressed, the far-right Freedom Party (FPÖ) has managed to emerge as the party with the highest number of votes in the elections, marking the first time that the ultras have positioned themselves as the political party with the greatest support. FPÖ has won the European elections in Austria with 25.5% of the votesless than a percentage point ahead of the ruling ÖVP party, which won 24.7%, the Interior Ministry in Vienna reported based on the full count.

Third was the social democratic party SPÖ, with 23.3% of the votes, ahead of the ruling environmentalist Greens, with 10.9% of the votes, and the liberal party Neus, with 10.1% of the ballots. While the FPÖ victory has shaken the Austrian political scene, In the end the result is less strong than 27% announced by a large trend projection presented at 3:00 p.m. GMT after the closing of the polling stations.

The arrival of Herbert Kickl, new leader of FPÖ, has given a facelift to the formation that had already gotten involved in national politics with representation in three regional executives. Based on hate speech full of attacks on immigrants, Euroscepticism for the ‘weak’ measures imposed by the European Union and targeting the “elites”have managed to convince the Austrians.

For months the FPÖ has received citizen support, until about to apply as the first choice in the polls ahead of the national elections that will decide the future of the country and are scheduled for the end of September at the latest.

Meloni’s extreme right continues to convince in Italy

Meloni’s policies continue to permeate Italian society, which buys his discourse on polarization and populism. The Italian Prime Minister, the far-right Giorgia Meloni, and her party, Brothers of Italy (FDI), have positioned themselves as the winners of the European elections in the country by obtaining between 26 and 30% of the votesaccording to the exit poll broadcast at the closing of the schools by public television RAI.

Brothers of Italy, who In 2019 it had to settle for six deputiesthus advances its presence on the political scene that led them to be the leading party of the right-wing government coalition made up of Matteo Salvini’s League and the Forza Italia of the late Silvio Berlusconi.

Meloni was running as a candidate in these European elections, like her main rival, Elly Schlein, who has managed to elevate the Democratic Party (PD), a reference for the center-left in Italy, to second place after a few years of reconfiguration to try to become an alternative. This party would have taken between 21 and 25 percent of the votes.

Vox grows in Spain

Santiago Abascal’s training has achieved lto third place in the elections, with 9.62% and 6 deputieswhich means an increase of two deputies. An escalation that has been stalled by The party is over. Alvise Pérez’s group has obtained a total of three seats, confirming that the extreme right in Spain has obtained a total of 9 deputies in the European Parliament.

Jorge Buxadé has had a lesser impact than the rest of the far-right parties in Europe

After the poor results in the 23J elections, Jorge Buxadé has had less impact than the rest of the far-right parties in Europe. A campaign that has been based on focusing the discourse on the arrival of immigrants, proposing a strong hand to expel from Spain anyone who does not have papers and in the constant attacks on the Popular Party which has allowed the party to stay alive in Europe and join Le Pen and Meloni to have more strength in the European Parliament.

Netherlands and France, hot spots for ultras

As expected and even more so after the victory in last year’s legislative elections, The far-right group the Party for Freedom (PPV) joins the notable rise of its European counterparts. The party led by Geert Wilders has been second in support at the polls, and surpassed only by the coalition of social democrats and environmentalists.

After the scrutiny, the radical right has advanced as the second force, with a total of 6 seats, according to the provisional official count. On the other hand, the left-wing bloc of the Greens and Social Democrats GL-PvdA has won the elections to the European Parliament in the Netherlands, with 8 of the 31 seats.

Geert Wilders’ Freedom Party has gained five more seats, now leaving a total of 6 MEPs, although far from its leader’s forecastswho sought to sweep these elections and overtake Timmermans’ left.

National Groupthe main far-right party in Francehas achieved a comfortable victory in the European elections after obtaining more than double the votes of its most direct rival, the Renaissance list supported by President Emmanuel Macron, who has been forced to dissolve the National Assembly and call legislative elections.

National Group, whose list was headed by its leader, Jordan Bardella, will have 30 MEPs in the new legislature, while Macron’s partners, the theoretical pillar of the liberals, will have to settle for 13 seats, according to provisional results. The far-right thus repeats the victory it already achieved in 2019 and positions itself not only for the legislative elections that will start at the end of the month, but also for the presidential elections scheduled for 2027.

The far-right Vlaams Belang party wins in Belgium

He far-right party Vlaams Belang won this Sunday in the European elections in Belgium, where achieved 14.6% of the votes, while the Flemish nationalist N-VA took second place with 14.1%. The far-right party, led by Tom Van Grieken, however, failed to win in the federal and regional elections also held this Sunday in Belgium, despite starting as a favorite according to the polls.

The Francophone liberals were the third most voted in the European elections, by achieving 12.5% ​​of the votes, one of the most notable rises, followed by the French-speaking and Flemish left (PTB-PVDA), which made a spectacular leap and remained in fourth place, with 10.6% of the votes. Next came the Flemish Christian Democrats, who obtained 8.4% of the votes, and the Flemish Socialists (Vooruit), with 8.0%, followed by the French-speaking Socialists (PS), with 7.4%.