to the cry of “Genocidal Joe!”a group of pro-Palestinian activists interrupted the first major speech of the US president’s primary campaign on Tuesday, Joe Biden.
It is a sign that the president faces an arduous path this year towards his re-election hampered by two uncomfortable international conflicts: a war in Gaza that threatens to spread and a contest in Ukraine that remains stagnant.
Biden arrived at the White House three years ago with the promise of regaining American leadership in the world after four years of chaos and isolationism of his predecessor. donald trump.
Today, Trump is advancing unstoppably in the primaries for the Republican presidential candidacy, while the Democratic leader tries to balance so that the international board and his electoral aspirations do not blow up.
No solution in Gaza
Almost four months after the massacre carried out by Hamas in Israel, the Israeli offensive against the Islamist group in Gaza has already left more than 25,000 Palestinians dead and an unprecedented humanitarian crisis.
Pressure from Washington’s Arab allies forced Biden to demand restraint from the Israeli government, but the United States maintains its UN veto of a ceasefire and continues to supply weapons to Israel.
More recently, Biden has insisted on the need to found a Palestinian state after the war, but has clashed with the unmitigated rejection of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
According to Michael Hanna, an analyst with the International Crisis Group, for years the United States “has not shown any real commitment” for the creation of a State for the Palestinians, so “The circumstances do not seem encouraging.”
Furthermore, while the US elections revolve around domestic politics, this expert sees “very possible” that the war in Gaza takes its toll on Biden at the polls.
Alert in surveys
A poll published by the New York Times last month found that 57% of Americans disapprove of the president’s handling of the conflict.
The survey showed even more worrying data for the Democratic campaign, given that 67% of young people under 30 years of age, a key group for Biden’s re-election, want a ceasefire in Gaza.
The deputy director of the Council on American-Islamic Relations, Edward Ahmed Mitchell, has no doubt that the situation in Gaza will be “a matter of concern” for the country’s growing Muslim population in the November elections.
“What is happening in Gaza is incredible. “We are watching a live genocide funded by American taxpayers,” express his opinion in statements.
Fronts multiply
In light of all this, it seems that the four tours that Secretary of State Antony Blinken made to the Middle East to avoid a regional conflagration of the conflict have not borne fruit and the fronts are multiplying.
Biden first ordered bombing the Houthi rebels in Yemen to try to stop this group’s attacks on commercial ships in the Red Seabut these have continued.
On Tuesday, the president also decided to bomb positions of pro-Iranian militias that have been attacking US personnel in Iraq for weeks.
Hanna maintains that the existence of an “escalation” is evident and that “The longer the war in Gaza continues, the greater the risk of an all-out war in the region.”
Ukraine, an entrenched problem
As for Ukraine, there is no more money left in the box and Biden is trying to get Congress to approve new funds so that kyiv can continue to repel the Russian invasion.
But the Republicans, who are wary of spending money on a stalled Ukrainian counteroffensive, have conditioned the progress of the negotiations on a very thorny issue in the middle of the electoral campaign: they demand a more restrictive immigration policy.
The defense of Ukraine “It has already become part of the culture war” between conservatives and progressives, points out Juan Luis Manfredi, holder of the Prince of Asturias chair at Georgetown University.
Furthermore, it is a topic that generates “weariness” among the electorate, whom Biden precisely has to mobilize to bar Trump’s passage to the White House.
The only certainty for Mafredi is that a Republican victory in November would be “good news for Putinism and bad news for Ukraine.”
Source: Gestion
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