In the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, from June 1 to November 30, 11 to 15 named storms will form in the Atlantic basin. _ which includes the entire Atlantic Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea _, which is within the average, they predict at North Carolina State University.

The number of storms predicted is at the high end of long-term averages but at the low end of the most recent 30-year averages, according to Lian Xie, a professor of marine, earth and atmospheric sciences at NC State. The long-term average (1951 to 2022) of named storms is 11, and the most recent average (1991 to 2020) is 14 named storms.

Of the 11 to 15 named storms that are forecast, six to eight could become strong enough to become hurricanes (the historical average is six), with two to three storms potentially becoming major hurricanes. Europe Press.

The Gulf of Mexico will also see a hurricane season in line with historical averages.said a statement from the university.

Of the 11 to 15 named storms forecast across the Atlantic basin, Xie’s data indicates the likelihood of three to five named storms in the region, one to three of which will become hurricanes and none or one will become a become a major hurricane. Historical averages for the Gulf are three named storms and one hurricane.

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Xie’s methodology is more than evaluation 100 years of historical data on the positions and intensity of hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean, as well as other variables, including weather patterns and sea surface temperatures, to predict how many storms will form in each ocean basin.