On November 12 at the Madison Square Garden arena in New York, Russian Sergei Pavlovich and British Tom Aspinall will meet in the second most important fight of the UFC 295 tournament. The UFC interim heavyweight title will be on the line. “Lenta.ru” – more information about where and when to watch the fight, who bookmakers prefer and what to bet on.
Initially, the current heavyweight champion, American Jon Jones, and his compatriot Stipe Miocic were supposed to fight at UFC 295, but during training ahead of the fight, Jones was injured and withdrew. Pavlovich was the alternate for this fight, and the UFC decided to match him with Aspinall. At the same time, the Briton said that the Russian had previously refused to fight him twice. In response to this, Pavlovich said that this could have happened due to the coronavirus pandemic or his problems with the visa.
When is the Pavlovich vs Aspinall fight?
The fight between Russian Sergei Pavlovich and British Tom Aspinall will take place as part of the UFC 295 tournament at the Madison Square Garden arena in New York on November 12, 2023.
What time does the fight start between Sergei Pavlovich and Tom Aspinall?
The start time of the fight between Sergei Pavlovich and Tom Aspinall depends on the outcome of other fights on the main card of UFC 295. Presumably, the Pavlovich-Aspinall fight will begin no earlier than 7:30 Moscow time.
On which channel will the Pavlovich-Aspinall fight be shown, where to watch the live broadcast
In Russia, the fight between Sergei Pavlovich and Tom Aspinall will be shown live on the Match TV channel. In addition to the fight with the participation of the Russian heavyweight, you can also watch other fights on the main card of UFC 295 there.
Photo: Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC/Getty Images
Bookmakers’ odds for the fight between Sergei Pavlovich and Tom Aspinall
The Russian athlete is considered the favorite in the fight between Sergei Pavlovich and Tom Aspinall. Bookmakers offer to bet on his victory with odds of 1.84. You can bet on Aspinall to win with odds of 2.13. The probability of a draw is estimated at 70.0.
Forecast for the fight Sergei Pavlovich – Tom Aspinall
On the eve of the fight between Sergei Pavlovich and Tom Aspinall, experts note the transience of the rivals’ fights. Since losing to Alistair Overeem in his UFC debut, Pavlovich has defeated six opponents in a row with first-round knockouts. It took him just over 12 minutes: an average of just over 2 minutes per person. This is one of the highest figures in the promotion, higher – only Aspinall.
While Pavlovich is riding a streak of six straight knockouts in the first rounds (a record for any UFC fighter), Aspinall is just getting back on track. In his first five fights in the UFC, the Briton won ahead of schedule (only Belarusian Andrei Orlovsky made it to the second round), then he suffered a knee injury in a fight with Curtis Blaydes, and after recovering from the injury, which took almost a whole year, he dealt with the Pole Marcin without any problems Tyburoy.
Pavlovich’s strengths in this fight are his arm span, which the Russian uses to his maximum benefit, as well as his striking technique. Although Sergey comes from freestyle wrestling, if the fight goes to the ground, preference is given to Aspinall, who holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and has finished with techniques on four opponents in his career. At the same time, the Briton is also dangerous on the stand – he won 10 of his 13 victories in MMA by knockout. He is also somewhat faster than Pavlovich and is often referred to as a heavyweight who moves like a middleweight.
Photo: Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC/Getty Images
Aspinall himself acknowledges his opponent’s strength on the stand. “He hits the right shots at the right time. There are many fighters in the UFC who have the same power, but they don’t have the results that he has: finishes in the first rounds and knockouts,” said the Briton.
Sergei also expects a difficult fight. According to the Russian, he will be ready to spend all five rounds in the Octagon. “Thanks to Aspinall for rating me so well. Tom is a very dangerous guy. He can wrestle and fight. We accept it 100 percent, no concessions. This will be a full fight. I don’t think it will be a confrontation between my strength and his speed. We can both stand up and on the ground,” Pavlovich noted.
Another advantage of Pavlovich is the fact that he purposefully prepared for November 12, being a substitute in the fight between Jones and Miocic. Aspinall took the fight on short notice and, accordingly, had significantly less time to prepare.
Who should I bet on in the Sergei Pavlovich – Tom Aspinall fight?
Pavlovich is called the white Francis Ngannou (former UFC heavyweight champion, who quarreled with promotion head Dana White over money and left the organization), many experts note the physical power of Sergei and the severity of his blows. The Russian’s latest opponents in the UFC were unable to counter this seemingly simple combination.
In this case, I would like to agree with the bookmakers and bet on the Russian fighter to win. Pavlovich and Aspinall had a total of 14 fights in the UFC, only one of which lasted until the second round (Aspinall’s victory over Orlovsky). Therefore, the most attractive bet in this fight is an early victory for Pavlovich in the first round.
Bet: Sergei Pavlovich’s victory by knockout in the first round with odds of 3.15.
Source: Lenta
Kingston is an accomplished author and journalist, known for his in-depth and engaging writing on sports. He currently works as a writer at 247 News Agency, where he has established himself as a respected voice in the sports industry.
