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The currently recorded peak in the incidence of coronavirus is expected to decline by the end of February or early March, said Mikhail Shchelkanov, director of the Research Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology of Rospotrebnadzor.
According to him, currently there is a so-called “winter” peak, characteristic of the spread of SARS. Usually, by about January 25, there is a stable pseudo-exponential increase in the incidence of SARS, and the coronavirus repeats this trend. The specialist stressed that in this regard, it can be assumed that the peak will decline by the end of February – the beginning of March, RIA Novosti reports.
Shchelkanov added that after that, there will supposedly be a small peak in the incidence in March-April, which will be expressed differently in different climatic zones. By the summer, the incidence will drop to a minimum, but if sanitary measures are weakened, a “small summer surge” is possible. In the future, the cycle may be repeated, taking into account the autumn increase in the incidence of acute respiratory viral infections.
Source: Rosbalt
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