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The number of new cases of coronavirus infection COVID-19 registered in Russia per day can reach 65 thousand by February 1 this year. This is not ruled out by the head of the Department of Mathematical Modeling of Energy Systems, head of the Center for Intelligent Logistics of St. Petersburg State University (SPbSU) Viktor Zakharov.
Under his leadership, a group of researchers developed a mathematical model of CIR, which, using new methods, makes it possible to more accurately predict the spread of coronavirus for up to a month.
“Our model predicts that by February 1, the number of new detected daily cases of coronavirus infection in Russia may reach 65 thousand. At the same time, the rate of increase in the incidence “may well persist until mid-February”, but then they will go to a declining number of detected cases will exceed the threshold of 11.5 million people,” the scientist told the TASS news agency.
As Zakharov expects, the rate of increase in the incidence “may well continue until mid-February,” but then it will decline.
Recall that by January 16 in Russia – since the beginning of the pandemic – 10 million 803 thousand 534 cases of coronavirus infection were already registered, and 321 thousand 320 people died.
We add that, according to the American Johns Hopkins University, the number of registered cases of COVID-19 in the world by the morning of January 16 exceeded 326.183 million. Since the beginning of the spread of coronavirus in the world, more than 5.535 million people have died after being infected with COVID-19.
Source: Rosbalt
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