Donald Trump’s rhetoric constantly keeps foreign trade roughly. A few days ago he announced with imposing tariffs on agricultural products that enter USA As of April 2.
“To the great US farmers: prepare to start producing a large number of agricultural products that will be sold within USA”, He wrote on his social networks without delving into details.
Economist Diego Macera said that “it is not clear What specific agricultural products It will put them and how much. It has lost quite seriousness in American foreign trade. Burned, grapes, asparagus? What countries? “He said on Channel N.
As he explains, USA It is the main destination of our agro -export products, being blueberry and grapes the most sensitive. However, there are two factors that could arrange the Peru. One of them: seasonality.
“Our harvest calendar is inverse to production in the northern hemisphere (…) What logic would you have to apply this measure to encourage US palta production? They will not replace corn and soy crops with avocado in just five years,” he added.
Remember that AGRARY COMMERCIAL BALANCE Del Peru closed 2024 with a surplus of more than US $ 6,400 million, an increase of 51% compared to 2023. This result responds to the remarkable increase in agro -exports, which reached a historical record of US $ 12,798 million, marking a growth of 21% compared to the previous year.
Tariff impact: Does the FTA help?
The manager of the Peruvian Institute of Economy (IPE) points out that Trump has justified his measures appealing to a speech of “unusual extraordinary threat.” However, I would be facing a legal challenge.
“In this case of tariff Executive powersince we have free trade treaty, international agreements and you cannot do what you want, “he said.
In his opinion, it is likely that protectionist measures slow the global economy, which could grow half a point at the global internal product (GDP) level. “That is a lot, but talking about recessions is too much,” he said.
Source: Larepublica
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