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Guaidó extends his powerless “presidency” in Venezuela with US support.

Juan Guaidó will be “in charge of the presidency” of Venezuela another year, without real power and facing deep fractures in the opposition, but with the support of the United States, which gave vast blocked resources to the illegitimate government of Nicolás Maduro.

The outlook is not encouraging for this 38-year-old leader, with extremely low levels of popularity after three years without fulfilling his promise to remove Maduro from power.

“Today the Constitution wins, today Nicolás Maduro loses,” Guaidó celebrated after being ratified on Monday night by deputies of the Parliament with an opposition majority elected in 2015, who ended his term in January 2021 but defends its “continuity.”

Guaidó was proclaimed president in a square in 2019, in his position as head of the National Assembly, after ignoring the irregular reelection of Maduro in 2018 in elections that he considered fraudulent and that the opposition boycotted.

However, it is Maduro who has total control of the territory, with the backing of the Armed Forces, to which he has given a lot of power.

Guaidó “is a kind of political Frankenstein who failed,” said the president recently, whose power is not at risk, empowered by his party’s victory in the November regionals.

“Imperialism believed that Venezuela belonged to them and that they, in a colonial way, could put in a president,” he said.

“It would be nobody”

Guaidó is recognized by dozens of countries, although with less and less fervor.

The United States is its main ally. It was former President Donald Trump who led an international offensive for Venezuela to return to democracy, for which he imposed a series of sanctions on Maduro’s Chavista regime, including an oil embargo, and gave Guaidó control of Venezuela’s assets and assets in U.S.

The current government of Joe Biden, although less effusive, maintains this support, “fundamental” according to political scientist Pablo Quintero.

“Without the United States, Juan Guaidó would be nobody,” Quintero said. “It is not anything that the United States supports a government, even if it is imaginary, without real power”

“There is no change” in the Biden administration with respect to Venezuela, said Ned Price, a spokesman for the State Department, on Tuesday.

“To remove the support (of Guaidó) would be to make a concession to Maduro without giving anything in return,” summed up Mariano de Alba, an expert on the Venezuelan crisis and a senior advisor to the International Crisis Group.

The European Union (EU), although it does not give him the title of president, considers him the only valid interlocutor in Venezuela, although it maintains open channels with the Maduro regime. Countries of the bloc maintain embassies in Caracas despite recognizing Guaidó.

“Vanish”

Guaidó also faces an opposition faction convinced that the strategy must be rethought. His own “chancellor”, Julio Borges, resigned claiming that the “interim” should “disappear” and his party, Primero Justicia, pressed Monday to eliminate that figure.

It only managed to reduce the machinery at the service of Guaidó, who with control of resources abroad continues to lead the opposition.

“We defeated the pretense of wanting to divide the democratic alternative,” Guaidó launched on Monday in a virtual session, such as his National Assembly, which lost the seat of the Legislative Assembly when Chavismo “won” the 2020 parliamentarians, to which he did not appear. the opposition by mistrusting the legitimacy of the process.

Benigno Alarcón, analyst and professor at the Andrés Bello Catholic University, considers that 2022 “will be a more conflictive year” that could bring a “sudden” outbreak of demonstrations like those of 2017, which paralyzed the country and left a hundred dead.

Well, the election is pending in the home state of the late Hugo Chávez, Barinas, which will be repeated on Sunday by order of justice before the imminent triumph of the opposition; and the possibility of processing a referendum to revoke Maduro’s mandate, which runs until 2025, an alternative that also divides the opposition.

All in the middle of a negotiation in Mexico, which for now is in limbo, but in which the sanctions and resources given to Guaidó are the main opposition exchange token.

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