The Middle East is facing an escalation of tension in the region unprecedented for decades after the outbreak of the war between Israel and Hamas. Israeli national security advisor Tzachi Hanegbi has threatened the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah with the “destruction of Lebanon” should it start a “second war” on the front. between Israel and Lebanonwhile this Sunday The attacks have occurred again between the Netanyahu Government and the Lebanese militia group on the Lebanese border.

Meanwhile, Syria accuses Israel of having carried out an attack on the Aleppo International Airport that left it out of service early this Sunday. Military sources told the state news agency SANA that “this new aggression constitutes an affirmation of the criminal approach of the Israeli occupation entity“, and pointed out Israel for “its continued crimes against the Palestinian people and the massacres it commits against innocent civilians, including women and children.”

For its part, Israel accuses Iran of trying to open a second front of war by deploying weapons in or through Syria, while this Saturday the Visegrád 24 news agency reported that unidentified warplanes, presumably Israeli, They attacked an Iranian military convoy near the Al-Bukamel border crossing, between Iraq and Syria.

Iran is, precisely, a key actor. Israel accuses him of being behind the financing and intelligence of Hamas and Hezbollah, while captaining the Axis of the Resistance against Israel. Precisely, this same weekend, Iran has raised its tone and stated that its allies have “fingers on the trigger, ready to shoot” if the siege of Gaza continues.

Hezbollah attacks in Lebanon

Since last Saturday, attacks between the Lebanese militia and the Israeli army have been frequent. Already on Wednesday, Hezbollah launched missiles at Israel from southern Lebanon and Netanyahu’s troops responded with aerial bombardments in the south of the country. This weekend, Israel has raised its tone: “We hope that Hezbollah does not provoke, de facto, the destruction of Lebanonbecause if there is a war, the result will not be less.”

Just hours later, Hezbollah once again tempted Israel with a missile launched into the south of the country that killed at least one person. Israeli authorities have confirmed a 40-year-old man has died and three other wounded who have been evacuated to a hospital in Nahariya, reports the Israeli newspaper ‘Haaretz’. In response, the Israel Defense Forces have reported that they are launching strikes against the source of the gunfire.

The war between Israel and Hamas has only intensified a decades-long conflict. Israel and Lebanon They are two countries historically confronted by a conflict that started with the civil war 15 years old during the 1980s who confronted cultures and religions in Lebanon. Palestinians taking refuge in Lebanon began planning attacks against the Israelis, hostilities that ended with Israel’s invasion of Lebanon.

The Israeli army reached Beirut, its capital, but in the midst of the occupation, an armed Lebanese militia was born with the aim of fighting against Israel: Hezbollah (‘Party of God’ in Arabic). Over the past 20 years, thanks to funding from Iran, the organization has grown enormously. So much, who in 2000 managed to expel Israel from the territories which it continued to occupy in southern Lebanon.

In recent years, the armed wing of Hezbollah, the terrorist group, has continued to attack Israel. Both on the border and outside it, and with great support from Lebanon, since the Lebanese organization is also a political party that has even been part of the country’s Government.

Currently, Hezbollah is one of the most armed militias in the world. According to its leader, the terrorist group has 100,000 combatants and It has 150,000 precision missiles. If Hezbollah launched a missile, it could reach every square centimeter of Israel’s surface.

Iran’s role

Iran’s financing of Hezbollah places it, irremediably, as another of the key actors in this escalation of tension. Islam became the core of Ayatollah Khomeini’s government after the Islamic revolution triumphed in 1979, ending the period of the Shah.

Since then, Iran has been one of the powers most in conflict with the Israeli Government. In fact, in 2010 Iran began to lead the Axis of resistancea Shiite alliance against the Jewish State that also includes Syria, Iraqi militias and groups for which its support is known, such as Hezbollah, the Sunni Palestinian movement of Hamas or the Houthi rebels of Yemen.

This same weekend, the Islamist republic warned Israel that the Axis of Resistance “He has his fingers on the trigger ready to shoot” if Israeli crimes in Gaza continue. The Iranian Foreign Minister, Hosein Amir Abdolahian, stated that “the response will be given at the opportune moment, at the moment when the resistance movement decides, in the case of inactivity of the international community, the UN and actors “.

Furthermore, according to ‘The Wall Street Journal’, Iran would have helped prepare Hamas’s attack on Israel. Specifically, members of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard would have helped plan the attack since last August and would even have given the green light for its start, according to Hamas and Hezbollah sources cited by the New York newspaper. A fact that Iran denies, although they openly celebrate the Hamas attack.

What would be the consequences of Iran’s entry into the conflict?

Iran’s direct entry into the war between Israel and Hamas could change the political map of the Middle East and escalate the conflict to terms with disastrous consequences for the international community.

The international analyst Pedro Rodríguez has explained in laSexta that “the risk of escalation” is alarming: “It can end in a regional war, very easily.” “The risk that Iran, through its practices, could escalate the conflict is very high,” insisted the expert, who indicated that Iran’s weapons power, despite not having nuclear weapons, It is “incredibly destructive”. “It does not have nuclear weapons, but it has the poor man’s nuclear weapons, which is a chemical weapons program and all kinds of missiles. They can attack every inch of Israel and block oil exports in the Strait of Hormuz,” he concluded.

In addition to the personal and property losses that a conflict of this nature may entail, the consequences would immediately involve Western governments. In a first scenario due to the price of fuel.

Banca March analysts explain that “Iran extracts around 3.5 million barrels a day of oil, just over 3% of global production” and, in addition, they recall from the manager Edmond de Rothschild, “it has the capacity to block the Strait of Hormuz, as it has done in the past, and can easily destroy neighboring oil fields. For not discussing possible international alliances which could lead to its entry into the war between Israel and Hamas.