With Russia still post-rebellion hangover (frustrated), putin lavishes on television: this Sunday “from the Palace”, this Monday addressing businessmen… but beware, neither live nor direct: all his messages were recorded.

This detail has fueled speculation about where it really is and where it is. Why hasn’t it been seen in public?with his people, not even for assert their power after that uprising that —the West agrees— puts him in question.

“What happened this weekend shows that the war in Ukraine is cracking Russian power. Putin created a monster, Wagner, who has now bitten him” assures Josep Borrell, head of diplomacy of the European Union. The Secretary General of NATO has spoken along the same lines.

“The only solution for Russia is a bullet in Prigozhin’s headexecute him!”, clamor Putin’s deputies as Andrei Gurulyov, in prime time on Russian TV. Meanwhile, in Moscow they threaten and strive to erase Wagner’s traces, removing his banners and recruitment ads. Nor has it been seen if his boss, Prigozhin, who has come to his Belarusian exile.

Does Putin really forgive?

There are also many questions about how real the amnesty is — Putin has had enough of saying that “betrayal is the only thing I would never forgive”increased when the Russian media – state news agency included – confirmed on Monday morning that the criminal investigation against Prigozhin continues.

What did Putin and Progozhin agree on?

Those who know well how the Russian secret services spend them warn Prigozhin: “Ha saved his lifebutha lost to his militia; must have a lot be careful when passing near open windows in their new environment in Belarus.” These are the words of retired general and former CIA director David Petraeus. That’s pretty much all that is known about the pact: that its mercenaries return to the Kremlin fold. It is not clear what will happen to those deployed in Ukrainebut neither in other parts where they operate as Africa.

Did you see it coming?

To all this, now the interview with a famous Russian blogger, from a couple of months ago, from which the idea of ​​the riot might seem to have emerged. To questions if they are resentful of the Kremlin (due to lack of support, material…) and if They will march on Moscow Prigozhin replies: “I hadn’t thought of that, but it’s a very interesting idea.”

From there, on what was behind this mutiny, the analysts also agree: “The plan (of Prigozhin) was to try to change the balance of power in the Russian Ministry of Defence”. This is how Jack Watling, an analyst with the British Royal Services, explains it. It is speculated, in fact, that Wagner’s withdrawal was in exchange -among other things?- that they were dismissed the minister and the chief of the General Staff, key pieces of Putin’s Defense.