After the OAS turned its back on Daniel Ortega, it now wants to remove Nicaragua from the body

During the last General Assembly of the Organization of American States (OAS), the majority of member countries (25 out of 34) approved a resolution in which, mainly, they rejected the legitimacy of the general elections of November 7, in which supposedly The current president Daniel Ortega won, who is now trying to remove his country from the continental body.

The Central American country’s Parliament, controlled by the ruling Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN) and collaborators, has already asked with 83 votes that the Assembly should “urge the President of the Republic, in his capacity as Head of State and Head of Government , to denounce the Charter of the Organization of American States, following the mechanism stipulated in Article 143 of said instrument. ” This “denouncement” implies withdrawing from the OAS, for supposedly being an “interference”.

If this complaint occurs, according to Article 143 of the OAS Charter, it would take two years for said letter to cease for the presenting State, in order to be separated from the OAS; but for this it should also comply with the obligations of the document until then.

According to the Nicaraguan media ConfidentialLocal analysts consulted see this as a maneuver by the regime to give an image of consensus among the powers.

The intention of the regime would be to anticipate any action by the OAS in image, which cannot expel a country, but can suspend it, as it already did with Venezuela when the Nicolás Maduro regime wanted to remove his country, but other countries. they questioned its legitimacy.

At this point, Esteban Santos, an international issues analyst, also believes that Ortega wants to make a splash before the same thing happens with the oil country.

“It is to follow the rhythm of what Maduro did at the time: ‘They don’t suspend me, I’m going.’ As a fundamental issue (…) the international bureaucracy is slow and an exit process would take, easy, a couple of years, and there is this idea of ​​applying the Democratic Charter against Nicaragua, but I, the truth, also reserve the right to idea, because with a regime that is already so authoritarian, if there is no control with an international body that can ensure something of the rights of citizens, I believe that in practice it has been shown that it is detrimental to freedoms and basic minimum guarantees of the people. That is why the issue can be a bit more delicate as such, ”says Santos.

According to the analyst, it would be the United States once again that could have options for the situation, but the United States also knows that if they continue to apply sanctions to members of the regime and economic to the country – such as withdrawing it from the FTA that it has with several Central American countries -, it could provoke a wave of migration from Nicaragua.

The United States announced on Tuesday that it was prohibiting Ortega from entering its territory.

“The repression and abuses of the Ortega government and those who support him demand that the United States act,” United States President Joe Biden said in Washington on Tuesday, announcing that both Ortega, his wife and Vice President Rosario Murillo, and their Ministers and various other officials cannot enter US territory, remember AFP.

These prohibitions are in addition to a series of sanctions applied by Washington against officials and relatives of the Ortega Murillos in recent months.

Nicaraguan analyst Luciano García comments that Ortega wants to “correct himself before they run him off”, since he has already “made the decision to radicalize Cuba-style, he does not care about the international community or that people are starving.”

“The Nicaraguan people do not believe that they will endure so much repression from that man, nor will their own people endure it. He is at the door of the abyss … that the process is not easy to leave the OAS, it is not a mere legality and he will lose all the benefits, such as credits that the World Bank can grant him, alliances with Latin American countries, what he is going to do is basically isolate himself, with two friends in America: Cuba and Venezuela, ”adds García.

The OAS, according to its own documentation, supports member states in areas such as trade, tourism, corporate social responsibility, competitiveness, use of technology and innovation for sustainable growth, and for strategic partnerships and the development of business opportunities.

These and other things would lose Nicaraguan citizens if their country leaves the continental body.

Now we must also see who will serve as a “buoy” for Ortega. The calls to this would be China and Russia, who recognize the elections. To a lesser extent Cuba and Bolivia, but they do not have the influence and economic capacity to be of weight in this aid.

“The paradox is that the world has already seen that after all these decades of the trade embargo on Cuba, I don’t think that good results were achieved as such, because the street people were the ones who ended up paying for the broken dishes while the leadership continues well. food and entrenched in power (…). The same, what happened with Venezuela. I believe that Nicaragua is on the same path (…). You cannot do the same and expect different results, ”adds Santos.

Meanwhile, the declarations of rejection of the electoral results were joined by a local organization.

The Nicaraguan Center for Human Rights (Cenidh) concluded that the elections, in which Ortega was re-elected for a fifth and fourth consecutive term of five years, were “illegitimate” and “a sham”.

Nicaragua’s exit from the OAS would imply greater isolation and lose loans, cooperation, and donations from the international financial community. Before the elections, the OAS and several countries, including the United States and the European Union (EU), demanded to release the imprisoned opponents and create conditions for the elections to be transparent, under threat of imposing more sanctions. (I)