Asteroid 2024 YR4 is already flying towards the ground. The probability of the collision increases with each day

How many, according to scientists, recently discovered asteroid 2024 YR4 can hit the ground in 2032. Probability of each time. How much is now and what has been established so far?

What is it about: Scientists from NASA and the European Space Agency (ESA) calculated when the asteroid discovered December 27, 2024 It can hit the ground. According to estimates, if there were a hit, it could cause considerable but local damage.

Which was established: The asteroid has a building size, and it can reach about 90 meters wide. Therefore, it is not even similar in size to the so -called Planet killers, an object that hit, among others into the ground. The extent of the asteroid at that time was about 10 km. After discovering the 2024 YR4 asteroid, the likelihood of hitting the ground, it amounted to 1.2 percent. Currently, the chances have increased to 1.6 percent.

Where does it move? As revealed, the asteroid 2024 YR4 is currently moving around the flattened orbit around the sun. It is also to move away from the ground in a straight line. Scientists intend to more accurately estimate the likelihood of a collision with the earth yet Before the asteroid ceases to be visiblei.e. in 2028.

They will use the webba telescope: Researchers also announced that “astronomers will use the James Webb telescope to better understand the size and orbit of the 2024 YR4” planetoids “. It has been added that “Webb is able to study infrared light (warm) emitted by 2024 YR4, not visible light that reflects. Infrared observations can provide much better estimation of sizes Planetoids. “

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Source: Gazeta

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