Neither Javier Milei nor Sergio Massa won in the first round: analysis of the electoral situation in Argentina

The presidential elections that took place on Sunday, October 22 Argentina They did not produce a definitive winner. Sergio Massaa centre-left Peronist and current Minister of Economy, will face the second round Javier Mileithe ultra-liberal and anti-system leader, this Sunday, November 19.

Although during the elections PASSED (Simultaneous and mandatory open primaries) Milei was surprisingly positioned as the favoritethe same trend was not repeated in these elections. Massa obtained 36.15% of the votes compared to Milei, with 30.31%, according to the survey of 83.26% of the tables.

“Despite all predictions and all predictions, the government candidate, Sergio Massa, won” he indicated Facundo ChavesArgentinian journalist Infobae.

In an interview with the program Monkey Lopezbroadcast by Radio City (89.3 FM in Guayaquil)Chaves explained that the result was likely due to the campaigns of each of the candidates after the primaries.

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Javier Milei stood out for a “aggressive campaignwith disruptive proposals that caused fear and anxiety, such as that of dollarize”. Moreover, he lost support for his “criticism of institutions that we want to respect in Argentina, such as public education, public health and also the issue of organ donation.”

Regarding dollarization, “Javier Milei suggested that things would be difficult for a while. I have the feeling that Argentinians were not willing to vote for someone who promised them serious suffering so quickly,” said the journalist, who compares dollarization to a leap into the void.

Chaves suggested that since the PASO elections, citing a political advisor Milei is said to have built his own electoral roof: “Milei won the PASO, but in recent months he showed his inexperience as a politician, to face moments and situations. In several cases, Javier confused Milei and regarded the ally as an enemy and the enemy as an ally”.

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The journalist remembered Milei’s criticism of the Radical Civic Unionthat’s a big part of it Together for changethe coalition that was left out of the second round and to which it would probably have to resort in order to win in the second round.

“We will have to see whether in these 28 days he manages to recalibrate the tone of his campaign, recalibrate his language and dose that freshness and spontaneity,” says Chaves.

The percentage difference between the two candidates becomes more serious when you consider that the vote of Sergio Massa in this election he was historical deepening of Peronism.

Peronism, according to Chaves, “It is not just a party, it is an identification, a tradition, it is an identity”.

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During the campaign, the Peronist candidate “the first thing he does is to find instruments and avenues that can benefit the most impoverished sectors of the country. “We have a country in Argentina with almost 50% below the poverty line,” the journalist noted.

For this reason, Massa is said to have proposed more popular measures than Javier Milei. From his position as Minister of Economic Affairs, he took the measure to achieve results bonds of 60,000 pesos (approximately $164 at the current official exchange rate) by the Argentine government to try to mitigate the decline in purchasing power caused by the 22% devaluation on August 14.

In the coming weeks, both candidates will try to collect the six million votes that went to Patricia Ullrich and the rest of the candidates who did not go to the second round, to position themselves as favorites in the November elections and become president of Argentina. (JO)