Lima, 05/14/2022 01:39 am The chances of a recession in the United States within the next year are steadily increasing. The probability of a recession over the next 12 months is now 30%, the highest since 2020, according to the latest monthly Bloomberg survey of economists. That’s slightly up from 27.5% in April and double […]
Tag: recession in the united states
Impending Bond Curve Inversion US Recession Alert
The world’s largest bond market is signaling that the risk of a US recession is rising, even before the Federal Reserve raises interest rates. The Treasury yield curve has collapsed to near inversion, a situation in which short-term rates exceed longer-term rates, which has often preceded a recession. The development intensified just ahead of next […]