Does Liga de Quito have an advantage over Independiente del Valle for the first national championship final match in 2023? Supposedly Yes. Several positive statistics support Luis Zubeldía’s team. For example, the albos achieved a favorable result on the road at the Banco Guayaquil stadium (the stronghold of the Sangolquí team), at home they will close the series of 180 minutes, and they were crowned in three of the five finals defined in Casa Blanca (1998, Apertura 2005 and 2018). , but failed in 2015 and 2020).

In Ecuador, in 75% of cases, the winner of the first final match was declared the national champion

But there is another factor that could affect the sanctification of lilies. This aspect has to do with a trend that has given a big advantage to away teams that have not lost their first matches in Ecuadorian Serie A football.

Pro League finals, unnoticed in Guayaquil: The Quito league is not popular, nationally speaking

At the Ecuadorian tournament, when the home team was neutralized in the first game (with a draw or a loss), in seven out of eight cases the visitor who did this later found himself the owner of the house. That is, 87.5% of the times when the invited team did not lose in the first game of the final in the second act, they took the trophy to their display cases. Only one team dropped that advantage.

Augusto Aragón will direct the Pro League title decider between Liga de Quito and Independiente del Valle

These are seven success stories.

1 in 1996

In the first final game played at Modelo Stadium, El Nacional defeated Emelec 2-1, with goals from Agustín Delgado and José Guerrero. In the second leg, Oswaldo de la Cruz and Cléber Chalá were responsible for the 2-0 in favor of the army, which returned to the Olympic Games.

Paolo Guerrero will continue in the Quito League, with one ‘condition’

2 in 2009

On Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Deportivo Cuenca failed at home in the first final game, drawing 1-1 with Deportivo Quito. Marcos Pirchio opened the account for chullas and Diego Ianiero equalized. In the return match, at the Olympic Atahualpa, those from Plaza del Teatro were double champions, winning 3-2.

3 of 2011

Deportivo Quito made a clear drop. Visiting the Capwell stadium, they beat Emelec 1-0, with a goal from Fidel Martínez. They crowned that advantage in the return with a 1-0 victory, a goal by Matías Alustiza.

4 of 2014

In the so-called Final of the Century in Ecuador, Emelec took advantage of visiting Monumental in the first leg with a 1-1 draw against Barcelona SC, with goals from Ángel Mena and Ismael Blanco for the hosts. In the second leg, the blues won at Capwell: 3-0 (Mena again and Miller Bolaños’ double goal)

5 of 2018

Once again, the visitors achieved a good result in the first leg of the final when Liga de Quito drew 1-1 with Emelec, at the Capwell Stadium (Bryan Angulo and Anderson Julio, scorers). The return leg in Casa Blanca ended 1-0 in favor of the Whites thanks to Anderson Julio.

6. 2019

In the predictions of the Liga de Quito, a victory in Casa Blanca, in the first final match against Delfín, would have been entered, but the visit went to Manta with 0-0. The result was repeated in the return match, and in stoppage time the whales celebrated.

7. in 2022

Aucas won the first national title in their history thanks mainly to what they did as visitors in the first final match against Barcelona SC: they won 1-0 at the Monumental, with a goal from Édison Vega. In Chillogallo, the Quito team won their advantage and became champions with a score of 0:0.

The only team that missed the tournament in Ecuador, despite a favorable visit in the first game, is Liga de Quito. In 2020, the Lilies started the dispute with a 1-1 draw with Barcelona SC at the Monumental, but their favoritism was reversed at Casa Blanca with a 0-0 draw. The Yellows were better on penalties and made an Olympic turnaround. (D)