With three dates remaining until the end of the second phase of the Pro Serie A league, there are still 59,049 combinations of results that will define the second finalist team to play next month, against Valley Independentchampionship title in 2023.

He the Toreador’s victory last Sunday (3-2) against El Nacional This has returned them to the top of the table and for now, along with Liga de Quito, they are the best option to win the stage.

Of the three clubs that still have a chance to reach the finals (league Quito, Barcelona and Dolphin), only the Albos, who follow the Canaries in the standings (with a point less), depend on themselves since they still have four games left, the first of which they will play today against Técnico Universitario in Ambat, and that has been postponed to the 11th. due to the participation of Liga de Quito in the Copa Sudamericana, in which they became champions.

By reviewing these combinations of results, we can conclude that league Quito maintains for now 83.33% possibilities to reach the finals (he has one more match than the other options); while Barcelonaalthough he is the leader for now, he has 77.78% and Dolphin have 69.44%.

For Barcelona’s chances to increase in percentage terms, with three dates remaining, it would have to loss or highest draw Liga de Quito today in Ambat. If the albos falls on Técnico U., the The capabilities of the Idol shipyard will go to 84.85% and those in the League will drop to 81.82%. But if the albos tie, their options will be equal in the new percentage (82.35%) with those of Barcelona, ​​since both would be tied on points (25), although the Quito team has a better goal average and this would return them to the first place in the classification.

To win the second stage and compete in the final, Barcelona must win the three remaining games: visiting Emelec this Sunday, at home against Guayaquil City (round 14) and against Universidad Católica (round 15) in Quito.

But they must also hope that the Liga de Quito does not add more than nine points in their four remaining games in this phase: away to Técnico U. today, in Loja with Libertada (date 13), in Quito against Cumbayá (day 14) and on at home against Mushuc Run (date 15).

With these results, Shipyard Idol would reach 34 points, while white would not collect more than 33 points.

In the event that the Toreadors win their three games and Liga de Quito adds exactly ten more points, the goal difference will determine the finalist, as both clubs would have 34 points. Currently, that average goal is in favor of the Quito team with +10 against +7 for Barcelona.

Another combination of results that would be useful for bullfighters is get at least seven more points and that the Liga de Quito does not win more than two of the four remaining games. (D)