Analyst Kupriyanov: The idea that the pandemic will end after Omicron is an illusion

Analyst Aleksey Kupriyanov said that not everyone will be ill with Omicron. This is reported by “Doctor Peter”.

According to the expert, deaths from COVID-19 began to grow in St. Petersburg. If for some time the figures were about 60 deaths per day, now it is 65-57. That’s about 30% extra deaths on top of the usual February death rates, he said.

This is a fairly large wave, despite the “lightness” of the omicron. So many people are sick that there are a lot of patients in hospitals and on mechanical ventilation, the expert added.

According to Kupriyanov, there are no official statistics in Russia on who is seriously ill due to the coronavirus in the “omicron wave”.

“According to private messages that I receive, most of the severe cases of covid are in the unvaccinated and not previously ill,” the analyst said. – The lightness of “omicron” is associated with the fact that the epidemic is unfolding in countries “young” in age and where there is a high percentage of vaccination. But in countries where the situation is close to the Russian one, the situation in the “omicron wave” is more complicated – there are quite a lot of severe cases of covid and those who ended up in the hospital. And we, too, are going through this not-so-good scenario.”

The idea that everyone will fall ill with covid during the “omicron wave”, and after that the pandemic will end, is an illusion, he said.

“Suffer not all been ill and not all, – said the expert. – Calculation of epidnomeram which is more realistic in terms of absolute figures shows that, for example, in St. Petersburg for all wave “Omicron” will be added the order of about 750 thousands of registered numbers. Accordingly, this means that in reality have been ill twice as many -. 1.5 million Considering that “omicron” can infect already undergone kovidah and vaccinated, we will still have more than 3 million who are not sick. “

Since not everyone has been ill, there is a risk of getting a new wave of unknown size out of the blue, even without new strains of coronavirus, Kupriyanov added.

But this may not happen until summer, he stressed. Now the natural lockdown is “working”, people are divided due to the fact that they are massively ill, ahead are spring school holidays and May holidays.

“So the decline in the incidence of coronavirus may continue until the summer,” the analyst concluded.

Earlier it was reported that St. Petersburg became a leader in infected COVID-19.