The past year was remembered for a number of temperature records, as well as for a strange distribution of precipitation, when there is none at all, then at once it falls above the norm. Alexei Kokorin, director of the Climate and Energy program of the World Wildlife Fund (WWF) in Russia, said this in an interview with Sputnik radio.
In his opinion, in the coming year the situation will be similar, the number of anomalies will remain the same. “It is impossible to accurately predict the weather for the entire year 2022. We can only say with confidence that the long-term tendency towards the formation of unstable and nervous weather will continue. That is, sharp changes in temperature in 2022 will continue, as well as large-scale precipitation or their anomalous absence, ”predicts Kokorin.
In addition, according to him, the trend for a slight cooling will continue due to the processes taking place in the Pacific Ocean.
“Most likely, for the world as a whole, 2022 will be somewhat colder than 2020, and about the same as 2021. I am speaking on the basis that the La Niña phenomenon is developing over the vast territory of the Pacific Ocean (the water surface becomes colder due to strong winds, which affects the climate, – ed.), Which means that an intensified heat flow. When then there will be another phase, El Niño, then everything will be the other way around (the climate will become warmer, – ed.), ”The expert noted.
At the same time, he believes, in the long term, in the next decades, global warming will lead to a gradual increase in air temperature.
Kokorin also does not exclude that in 100 years a third of the world’s population may be forced to move to other places and become climate refugees. In an interview with “Lenta.ru” he added that many species of animals will find themselves in a difficult situation, because mankind will have to think over special adaptation programs.
The climatologist pointed out that 100 years is a very long distance, but certain trends in the development of the world are already outlined. In order to implement a more optimistic scenario, humanity needs to stop global warming at 2.5 degrees with a slow increase to three, the expert said. This still promises certain changes, but not so critical.
Source: Rosbalt

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