Apart from his own opinion, citizens and experts evaluate the administration of President Las as close to zero. Now, as his term is about to end, it can be clearly seen that he has had only three successes despite an endless series of failures. Vaccination, stabilization of the macroeconomics and progress in overcoming child malnutrition are three positive aspects. But they are minimized when it is seen that in front of them – and surpassing them in their size and drama – their impotence in the face of increasing insecurity and the advance of organized crime, or when the deterioration of people’s living conditions is checked by numbers. the majority of the population. Added to all this is the inefficiency of public services, eroded by the absence of effective and efficient management, which is also reflected in the lack of reaction to concrete events, such as problems in electricity production, which were warned in advance.

(…) can prevent us from experiencing what we are experiencing today in a year and a half.

All that and much more is part of the diagnosis. However, now that a new government is being prepared (with the same profile of businessman at the head), it is worth going further and asking about the causes that determined such poor results. The main factor that can be identified is the absence of a political and technical team that, based on a precise and comprehensive diagnosis, was able not only to define appropriate policies, but to make them sustainable through their actions. It is evident that this team cannot be a group of well-intentioned technocrats without touching politics. Private management can ignore politics (always at the risk of failure in the attempt), but not state management, which is essentially politics. From the initial failures, when a heterogeneous and ephemeral majority gathered at the last minute in the Assembly, to the episode of political trial and response to the death of the Crusader, passing through its cornering in the naive and shameful treatment of the rebellion, it remained Of course, politics was his Achilles’ heel .

Daniel Noboa presents his employment and security plan to Spanish investors

There were other factors, but this is key to watching what may happen with the next government. His business background without a solid political organization at the base and without clear priorities causes fear of repeating this experience. The silence and absence (physical and purposeful) of the future president are bad omens in this sense. Putting international travel off the agenda before his government is formed – or, at least, off the public agenda aimed at the amorphous majority that elected him – is a negative signal. All the more so since at the same time, while he is absent and immersed in silence, in the underground of politics, an alliance seems to be maturing that could become a rope that tightens until it hangs him.

Guillermo Lasso spoke about the country’s energy problem at a forum convened by the IDB

We are coming out of a negative experience that could certainly have been worse, and we risk that it will last with new faces and a change of generations. The current situation is too similar to what we experienced just over two years ago. This is the moment when the elected president can prevent us from experiencing what we are experiencing today in a year and a half. (OR)