We are used to living in constant states of emergency, for one reason or another, justified or not, there is no time of the year without complicated difficulties that force us to seek solutions in hasty contracts that almost always end in failure, without satisfactory explanations of the urgent situations that motivated them. It happens that such situations were predictable in unobserved technical planning, including the natural phenomenon or event El Niño, which appears with a scientifically determined periodicity until its arrival is predicted, leaving its intensity and duration to be defined.

They also contain complete evidence of the destructiveness of climate change, with its typical manifestation of warming, from which no region or living species on the planet escapes, undeniable facts that force countries to take preventive actions with an emphasis on food supply, the basis for maintaining grain reserves in public storage centers that Ecuador stopped having as preventive strategic reserves, very useful in times of scarcity.

Read the latest news about power outages in Ecuador

As a precaution, we reviewed an interesting work by the Ecuadorian electrical engineer Juan Saavedra Mera, Master of Science, with specialization in foreign universities, Vicentino and Polytechnic par excellence, in which he shows that the delicate reality of electricity shortages, exacerbated by cuts and desperate power outages, are the result non-compliance with the planning which attributed its main cause to the low flow or dryness of the hydrographic basins that supply the generator turbines located in the eastern mountain range of the Andes that respond to low or even non-existent rainfall during periods of annual recurrence, with a duration of four months starting from October, would normally supplied 90% of national consumption, the remaining 10% must be covered by thermal energy or means that pollute the environment less, which have not yet been developed.

The basis of programming must be, in addition to demand, the size of the dry season supplemented by the heat production capacity that the country registers.; The 2019 update of the Master Plan confirmed that from 2023 there will be an energy failure, i.e. the shortage we are suffering now, radicalized by the non-commissioning of thermal power plants such as the 190 MW Machala Thermal Gas Power Plant contracted in 2013. and slated for commissioning in 2015, a 400 MW combined cycle plant in Monteverde or Posor; The 254 MW Toachi-Pilatón, contracted in 2010 for operation in 2015, and the 500 MW renewable energy block are also not completed, with the debut of the El Aromo solar project a long way off, while the Guayaquil and Santa Elena Thermal Park remain at 40% Out of use .

There were 1,300 MW of suspended projects that were supposed to be in action between 2019 and 2023, enough not to import much more expensive energy from Colombia, with an uncertain and fluid supply, due to the inexcusable negligence of the current and previous governments, whose behavior must investigate and determine appropriate responsibilities. (OR)