The “Global Risk Report 2025”, prepared by the World Economic Forum (WEF) with the support of the Marsh Mclennan firm, includes the prospects of more than 9,000 global experts and leaders. In the case of Peru, the main identified risk is economic slowdownalthough the Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF) projects a growth greater than 3% for this year.
“The country has a small, dependent and vulnerable economy. If the global economy sneezes, Peru gives a cold, ”the economist and researcher Armando Mendoza told the Republic.
According to the expert, it is known that a growth at that level is not felt at income levels, the standards or quality of life of the population. In addition, the geopolitical and economic panorama has become more complex with the beginning of Donald Trump’s second mandate in the United States.
Internal level, political instability, complaints for corruption, the advance of illegal economies and the increase in crime, factors that are aggravated in a context of the pre -election year persist.
Illicit economic activities
Along the same lines, another risk that concerns entrepreneurs is crime and Illicit economic activities. According to Gerardo Herrera, executive director of Marsh Advisory for Latin America, these have contaminated the economic and social structure.
“Peru faces a series of challenges that have evolved over time. Today the question arises: Were the actions of the State and the society adequate in front of the alert signals? ”Herrera questioned.
According to Mendoza, the responsibility of having weakened the State and deteriorated governance is shared by all. He also said that organized crime has already infiltrated the state, occupying key spaces and generating an obvious impact on sectors such as mining.
TEMPORARY RISK LINE
The same report explained that for Peru in 2021, the main concerns of businessmen focused on the failure of the national government, deep social instability and the state crisis, in addition to environmental risks such as natural catastrophes and involuntary migration on a large scale .
In 2022, the fear of the collapse of the State continued, together with prolonged economic stagnation and the employment crisis and subsistence means. In addition, digital inequality and environmental damage caused by man.
The following year, in 2023, the risks followed a similar trend, with the collapse of the State as one of the main concerns, in addition to rapid inflation and the proliferation of illicit economic activities.
By 2024, the focus moved to the economic slowdown, the Extreme weather phenomena and the fragility of the State and the failure of the public service. Likewise, the erosion of social cohesion and the rise of illicit economic activities were pointed out.
Finally, for this year the economic slowdown continues as the main risk, accompanied by an increase in intra -state violence, crime and poverty, together with the growing social polarization.
Wink
In the long term (10 years), four of the five risks that concern companies are related to climatic changes: extreme weathering phenomena, loss of biodiversity and collapse of ecosystems, critical changes in ecosystems, and shortage of natural resources.
Gerardo Herrera said that every time an extreme climate event occurs, 77% higher on average compared to previous years.
Source: Larepublica
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