According Moody’s, the real growth of the Peruvian economy will be 12% for this year thanks to the high prices of raw materials.
Along these lines, by 2022 they foresee that the GDP will reach 4% but this indicator will be subject to uncertainty around public policies.
This Moody’s forecast is similar to the 4.6% projected by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and 4.8% by the Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF); while entities such as the World Bank (WB) and the Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP), bet on 3.2 and 3.4%, respectively.
In this regard, the vice president of the Moody’s Investors Service group, Jaime Reusche, He stressed that “there is some room for optimism”, which guarantees the estimated positive prospects, since there are no projects to reform the Constitution or any other measure that will cause the fiscal deficit to overflow for the next two years.
On the other hand, the international agency detailed that investment in our country maintains a positive trajectory – it stands at 21.6%, above countries such as Chile, Mexico and Colombia – “but faces risks due to uncertainty” (see table ).
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