The forecast for 2023 is for GDP to grow by 2.7%, two tenths less than estimated in July. By 2022, the IMF estimates that the world economy will grow 3.2%.
Euskaraz irakurri: Nazioarteko Diru Funtsak okerragotu egin du 2023rako munduko ekonomiaren aurreikuspena
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has remained unchanged, 3.2%your forecast of increase last July for the World economywhich represents a sharp slowdown compared to the 6% expansion registered in 2021, while it has cut its forecast for 2023when you expect the Global GDP will grow by 2.7%while trusting that inflation has peaked and will moderate over the next two years.
In its ‘World Economic Outlook’ report, presented Tuesday in Washington, the IMF warns that risks remain unusually large and to the downside, including that monetary policy miscalculates the correct stance to reduce inflation, as well as further appreciation of the dollar due to the persistent divergence in the policies of the main economies, cross-border tensions, in addition to ‘shocks’ in energy and food prices that will drive inflation for longer.
Thus, in a more pessimistic alternative scenario, with higher oil prices, tighter financial conditions, and disruptions in China’s real estate sector, the IMF estimates that the level of global activity would be up to 1.5 percentage points lower in 2023 and 1.6 percentage points lower in 2024, relative to the current baseline.
“The balance of risks is firmly tilted to the downside, with around a 25% probability that global growth will fall below 2% within a year,” warns the institution, for which the global tightening of conditions of financing could trigger an over-indebtedness of emerging markets.
Forecast for the Spanish State
The growth forecast of the IMF supposes, in the case of the Spanish State, a eight-tenths cut by 2023until the 1.2%, according to the report. Thus, it has adjusted with respect to its latest forecasts, published in June, that Spain will grow by 4.3% this year, three tenths more, while economic progress next year will be reduced by eight tenths, to that 1.2%. .
Despite this adjustment for 2023, Spain remains at the forefront of the large eurozone economies in terms of growth, both this year and next.
Source: Eitb
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